Bulgaria annual CPI records 2.2% inflation in March

Wholesale Inflation stands at 2.47% in March manufacturing index rises

On a sequential basis, expenses on primary articles, which constitute 22.62 percent of the WPI's total weightage, inched up by 0.24 percent, from an increase of 0.79 percent in February.

Wholesale food prices in March fell 0.07% year-on-year, compared with a 0.07% rise a month earlier. The index for electricity group rose by 2.9 per cent to 105.4 (provisional) from 102.4 (provisional) due to higher price of electricity (3 per cent). The index for "Manufacture of Wearing Apparel" sub-group declined by 0.9 per cent to 137.8 from 139.0 for the previous month due to lower price of woven apparel, except fur apparel, and knitted and crocheted apparel (1 per cent each).

Prices of the other major group under the WPI, manufactured products, which comprise almost 64.23 per cent of the index, recorded a 3.03 per cent rise.

"Build up inflation rate in the financial year so far was 2.47 percent compared to a build up rate of 5.11 percent in the corresponding period of the previous year".

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The index for fuel and power declined by 0.1 per cent to 98 (provisional) from 98.1 (provisional) in February.

In monthly terms, it was the first month that recorded deflation after eight months in a row of CPI growth and only the third time in the past 12 months that consumer prices shrank.

"Unlike the retail inflation which dipped by 16bps in March 2018 over the previous month, the wholesale inflation remained flat".

Manufactured products inflation was at 3.03 per cent, lower than 3.22 per cent in the same month a year ago.

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However, he said that core inflation dropped to 3.5 per cent in March 2018 from 3.9 per cent in February 2018.

"However, there are some noticeable changes at the disaggregate level".

According to the data that the Ministry of Commerce & Industry released today, food articles showed deflation at 0.29 per cent in March as against a slight 0.88 per cent inflation in the preceding month.

Aditi Nayar, principal economist at research firm Icra, said the rise in global crude petroleum and natural gas prices, as well as the recent depreciation of the rupee relative to the dollar, are likely to push up the WPI inflation in April 2018.

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