Alberto, first Atlantic storm of 2018, will head for the U.S

Tropical depression formation expected Saturday

Subtropical Storm Alberto formed on Friday morning just east of Mexico's Yucatan peninsula, and it's expected to strengthen as it spins north across the Gulf of Mexico this weekend.

A subtropical storm has a less defined and cooler center than a tropical storm, and its strongest winds are found farther from its center. However it is not expected to become a hurricane. This low is expected to move northward affecting only the central and eastern Gulf coast.

Forecasters expect a subtropical or tropical depression to form by late Saturday over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.

Tropical depression formation expected Saturday

AccuWeather senior meteorologist Brett Anderson said the impact from the low pressure could last well into next week.

The Air Force's Hurricane Hunters are scheduled to fly out to investigate the storm Friday.

Heavy rain will be the biggest threat from Invest 90-L for the Tampa Bay area. Right now, heavy flooding rain, gusty winds, and isolated tornadoes are possible for South Florida, according to Bryan Norcross, a hurricane specialist at The Weather Channel.

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Check this page for all watches and warnings issued for our area by the National Weather Services and NOAA.

Hurricane forecasters analyze a combination of short and long-term climate trends, along with sophisticated computer models when making their predictions for a hurricane season.

Florida is typically a very dry spot for most of the early spring until about late May into June. "Heavy rain will likely begin to affect the central Gulf Coast region and the southeastern United States later this weekend and continue into early next week".

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Torey Vogel, marketing manager for the city's special events office, said organizers of the jazz festival are keeping an eye on the rain.

Tropical storm watches are in effect for Tulum to Cabo Catoche, Mexico, and the Cuban province of Pinar del Rio. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Through the weekend and into next week we are watching the potential of a surge of tropical moisture into the state that will bring a washout to beach goers for Memorial Day weekend plans.

A high rip current risk means the water will be unsafe for all levels of swimmers.

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